The hol­i­day sea­son is a blur of shop­ping trips, pack­age deliv­er­ies, crowd­ed malls, and fam­i­ly gath­er­ings. It is a time of ener­gy and cel­e­bra­tion, but it is also a peri­od when cer­tain crimes rise. Thieves know that res­i­dents are dis­tract­ed, deliv­er­ies pile up on doorsteps, and cars are loaded with gifts. In Cana­da, three types of theft stand out this sea­son: pack­age theft, shoplift­ing and per­son­al theft in pub­lic places, and auto break-ins or vehi­cle theft.

At Pro­tec­tion Plus, we’ve gath­ered Cana­da hol­i­day crime sta­tis­tics that reveal how these trends com­pare to broad­er Cana­di­an pat­terns, and what prac­ti­cal take­aways can help peo­ple stay ahead of risks.

1. ‘Porch Piracy’ increases around the holidays

Pack­age theft, also known as “porch pira­cy,” increas­es every hol­i­day sea­son in Cana­da, accord­ing to CTV News.

This com­pounds a year-round prob­lem, as 23% of Cana­di­ans, or 6.9 mil­lion peo­ple across the nation, say they’ve had a pack­age stolen from their porch.

The aver­age val­ue of a stolen pack­age was $113, but in about 10% of cas­es the thieves took a pack­age worth more than $250. This equals about $784 mil­lion worth of stolen pack­ages.

While there is good news from FedEx Express Cana­da, which reports pack­age theft fell from 16% in 2023 to 10% in 2024, that means one in 10 pack­ages may still dis­ap­pear from porch­es before their right­ful own­ers claim them—a par­tic­u­lar­ly seri­ous prob­lem around the hol­i­days when rates increase. These pack­ages are Christ­mas presents that fam­i­lies have saved for or one-of-a-kind items.

Ris­ing online shop­ping, dense res­i­den­tial liv­ing, and pre­dictable deliv­ery pat­terns give thieves easy access to unat­tend­ed parcels.

With two-thirds of Cana­di­ans plan­ning to spend the same or more this sea­son com­pared to 2024, accord­ing to a nation­al sur­vey by FedEx Cana­da, there will be high­er pack­age vol­umes at doors and build­ing lob­bies.

The sur­vey also notes that cus­tomers con­tin­ue to pre­fer home deliv­ery over pick­up loca­tions, even when warned about theft risk. Home deliv­ery remains con­ve­nient, but it also means more parcels are sit­ting in acces­si­ble areas for longer peri­ods.

Although porch pira­cy rarely involves direct con­fronta­tion, the finan­cial impact is real for res­i­dents, retail­ers, and car­ri­ers. Replace­ment process­es slow down dur­ing Decem­ber, and many con­sumers sim­ply absorb the loss.

How to prevent package theft

At Pro­tec­tion Plus, we rec­om­mend five ways to pre­vent pack­age theft from your doorstep:

  1. Sched­ule deliv­ery when you’re home. If you have con­trol over when your pack­age arrives, choose a time dur­ing the evening or on the week­end, or when­ev­er you know you’ll be home to accept it.
  2. Tell deliv­ery dri­vers to leave pack­ages in dis­creet loca­tions. By a back door, in a car­port, or behind a bench are all bet­ter loca­tions than sit­ting out in the open on your front porch, where it may be spot­ted by pack­age thieves cruis­ing the neigh­bour­hood.
  3. Install secu­ri­ty cam­eras and video door­bells. Vis­i­ble cam­eras are an excel­lent deter­rent for “porch pirates” look­ing for oppor­tu­ni­ties to com­mit low-effort crimes.
  4. Imple­ment a home secu­ri­ty sys­tem with yard signs and win­dow decals. This is anoth­er pow­er­ful deter­rent, as pack­age thieves who see that you have a home secu­ri­ty sys­tem will think twice before step­ping onto your prop­er­ty.
  5. Resched­ule or redi­rect pack­ages if you’ll be away. A pack­age sit­ting on your doorstep for days is an easy tar­get for an oppor­tunis­tic thief. It can also tip them off that you’re out of town, which is nev­er some­thing you want a thief to know.

Additional tips:

  • Use deliv­ery lock­ers or pick­up points when pos­si­ble.
  • Track pack­ages and plan to be home or have a neigh­bour receive them.
  • Request sig­na­ture-required deliv­ery for high-val­ue pur­chas­es.
  • In high-rise build­ings, encour­age man­age­ment to install secure par­cel rooms.

2. Shoplifting and personal theft surge with crowds

Hol­i­day crowds are an ide­al envi­ron­ment for pick­pock­ets, bag thieves, and oppor­tunis­tic shoplifters. While sta­tis­tics for the entire 2025 hol­i­day peri­od are still being final­ized, pick­pock­et­ing is on the rise, and nation­al trends from Sta­tis­tics Cana­da point clear­ly to sus­tained growth in theft-relat­ed inci­dents.

Accord­ing to the lat­est report from Stat­Can, shoplift­ing has increased in the past four years in a row:

Line graph showing Canadian crime trends from 1998 to 2023, including breaking and entering, motor vehicle theft, robbery, shoplifting, and theft under $5,000.Image Source

There were 182,361 police-report­ed shoplift­ing inci­dents of $5,000 or less in 2024, for a rate of 442 inci­dents per 100,000 pop­u­la­tion. While oth­er thefts of $5,000 or under declined 9% in 2024, shoplift­ing increased 14% from 2023.

This fol­lows a decade-long trend in which shoplift­ing in Cana­da increased by 66% from 2014 to 2024. Mean­while, oth­er thefts of $5,000 or under have declined 59% since their 1998 peak.

Numer­ous fac­tors can moti­vate shoplift­ing, pick­pock­et­ing, and sim­i­lar crimes:

  • Eco­nom­ic pres­sure. Infla­tion and cost-of-liv­ing con­cerns per­sist in many regions. Retail theft increas­es dur­ing peri­ods of finan­cial strain, and hol­i­days inten­si­fy temp­ta­tion and oppor­tu­ni­ty.
  • Crowd­ed stores and dis­tract­ed shop­pers. Busy malls give thieves cov­er. Peo­ple jug­gle bags, phones, coats, kids, and pay­ment cards. A few sec­onds of dis­trac­tion can be enough for a wal­let or shop­ping bag to dis­ap­pear.
  • Self-check­out vul­ner­a­bil­i­ty. Many retail­ers rely on self-check­out ter­mi­nals, which unin­ten­tion­al­ly make non-pay­ment eas­i­er. Some theft is inten­tion­al, but acci­den­tal non-scans also con­tribute to report­ed loss­es.
  • Orga­nized theft groups. Retail asso­ci­a­tions con­tin­ue to warn that orga­nized groups tar­get pop­u­lar malls and big-box stores dur­ing Decem­ber. Their activ­i­ty leads to spikes in both inci­dent counts and dol­lar-val­ue loss­es.

Toron­to shop­ping dis­tricts typ­i­cal­ly see high­er police pres­ence dur­ing the sea­son. Still, res­i­dents and vis­i­tors often under­es­ti­mate how quick­ly pick­pock­et­ing can occur in cramped or chaot­ic sur­round­ings.

How shop owners can protect inventory from shoplifters

Here’s how to secure valu­ables at your retail shop:

  1. Install busi­ness secu­ri­ty cam­eras. Vis­i­ble com­mer­cial secu­ri­ty cam­eras often make crim­i­nals recon­sid­er theft, as they’re usu­al­ly look­ing to com­mit low-risk crimes.
  2. Lim­it access to your most valu­able items. Keep valu­able goods in a locked dis­play case, and con­sid­er installing win­dow film on cas­es and front dis­play win­dows to pre­vent the glass from being smashed.
  3. Watch for blind spots. If there’s any cor­ner of your retail floor that is not vis­i­ble to store employ­ees, that’s a vul­ner­a­bil­i­ty. Lim­it shelf and divider heights so all cus­tomers are vis­i­ble, and install secu­ri­ty cam­eras if there are any blind spots that can­not be elim­i­nat­ed.
  4. Move check­out to the entrance. Keep the most pop­u­lar items at the back of the store and place the check­out counter near the entrance, so all cus­tomers must pass by your employ­ees on their way out.
  5. Secure deliv­ery areas and stock rooms. Secu­ri­ty cam­eras, along with access con­trol and inter­com sys­tems, increase vis­i­bil­i­ty and your con­trol over these areas.

Additional tip:

  • Install a com­mer­cial alarm sys­tem to help keep your busi­ness secure after hours. An unpro­tect­ed store is an open invi­ta­tion for crim­i­nals.

How to deter pickpockets

Here are some ways hol­i­day shop­pers can keep their wal­lets, phones, and oth­er valu­ables safe from pick­pock­ets:

  1. Keep phones and wal­lets in front pock­ets or secure inte­ri­or com­part­ments. Try not to keep items that can be eas­i­ly stolen in back pock­ets or in open bags.
  2. Watch where you put your bags. Avoid plac­ing bags on the floor or hang­ing them on the back of chairs in food courts. Be wary of leav­ing your wal­let and cell­phone on the table. 
  3. Stay aware when using self-check­out. Espe­cial­ly when jug­gling mul­ti­ple items, this can be a prime oppor­tu­ni­ty for a pick­pock­et.
  4. Make sure you know who is hold­ing which items. If shop­ping with chil­dren, use a con­sis­tent sys­tem for car­ry­ing belong­ings.
  5. Report sus­pi­cious behav­iour ear­ly. Thieves often test store lay­outs before strik­ing.

3. Auto break-ins and vehicle theft remain a primary concern

While Toron­to crime sta­tis­tics show a 33.8% decline in auto thefts in the city in 2025, this comes after explo­sive growth over the past five years. It’s essen­tial to stay vig­i­lant about auto theft and vehi­cle break-ins.

The lat­est nation­al Auto Theft Trend Report shows that while auto thefts have declined across Cana­da, theft lev­els remained sig­nif­i­cant­ly ele­vat­ed in the first half of 2025 com­pared to 2021 and pre-pan­dem­ic base­lines.

Bar chart showing national first-half auto theft trends from 2021 to 2025.

Image Source

The report out­lines sev­er­al fac­tors behind the surge:

  • High export demand. Stolen vehi­cles from feed inter­na­tion­al mar­kets where spe­cif­ic mod­els can be resold quick­ly.
  • Key­less entry vul­ner­a­bil­i­ties. Many mod­ern vehi­cles use wire­less fobs. Crim­i­nals use relay attacks to cap­ture and ampli­fy sig­nals, unlock­ing and start­ing cars in sec­onds. This method requires no bro­ken glass and leaves few traces.
  • Hol­i­day-spe­cif­ic risks. Cars loaded with shop­ping bags or elec­tron­ics become tar­gets for smash-and-grab break-ins. Park­ing lots near malls, are­nas, and tran­sit hubs see high­er inci­dent vol­umes in Decem­ber.
  • Rapid theft tech­niques. Pro­fes­sion­al thieves can steal a vehi­cle in under a minute using tools that dis­able alarms or repro­gram onboard com­put­ers. Win­ter dark­ness also gives them cov­er for night­time thefts.

Com­bined, these fac­tors make pre­ven­tion crit­i­cal. Res­i­dents should assume thieves are look­ing for easy wins and take steps to ensure their vehi­cles do not become one of them.

How drivers can protect themselves from auto theft and break-ins

  1. Nev­er leave bags or box­es vis­i­ble inside the vehi­cle. Even an emp­ty bag can sug­gest valu­ables.
  2. Use steer­ing wheel locks. Vis­i­ble deter­rents reduce risk and slow thieves.
  3. Park in well-lit areas and avoid leav­ing cars overnight in iso­lat­ed lots. Thieves are deterred by light and wit­ness­es.
  4. Store key fobs away from doors and win­dows. Use sig­nal-block­ing pouch­es at home.
  5. Con­sid­er installing an after­mar­ket immo­bi­liz­er or track­ing device. This can help retrieve your vehi­cle if it’s stolen.
  6. Keep vehi­cle iden­ti­fi­ca­tion num­bers and doc­u­ments stored safe­ly. Nev­er store them in the glove box.

Canada Holiday Crime Statistics — Staying Safe Without Losing the Holiday Spirit

Aware­ness goes a long way in pre­vent­ing crime. Most thefts that spike in Decem­ber are oppor­tunis­tic. Thieves watch for dis­trac­tion, con­ve­nience, and pre­dictable pat­terns. The more res­i­dents stay alert and build sim­ple pre­cau­tions into their rou­tines, the few­er oppor­tu­ni­ties crim­i­nals find.

Here are a few com­bined tips that apply across all three cat­e­gories:

  • Plan. Whether pick­ing up pack­ages, shop­ping in busy areas, or park­ing for an event, know what to expect and pre­pare for delays or crowds.
  • Secure your belong­ings. Keep items close, out of sight, or locked. Quick deci­sions pre­vent long headaches.
  • Trust your instincts. If an area feels unsafe or some­one appears sus­pi­cious, move away or noti­fy secu­ri­ty.
  • Share infor­ma­tion. Neigh­bours who com­mu­ni­cate about pack­age deliv­ery win­dows or sus­pi­cious activ­i­ty help pro­tect entire streets or build­ings.
  • Use tech­nol­o­gy wise­ly. Cam­eras, alerts, and track­ing tools help, but they should com­ple­ment good habits rather than replace them.

Hol­i­days should not feel stress­ful or unsafe. With a few adjust­ments, res­i­dents and vis­i­tors can shop, cel­e­brate, and trav­el with greater peace of mind. Stay­ing alert pro­tects not only your belong­ings but also the rhythm of the sea­son itself.

How Protection Plus Can Help

With hol­i­day crime ris­ing each year — from porch pira­cy to shoplift­ing and vehi­cle break-ins — tak­ing proac­tive steps to pro­tect your home or busi­ness is more impor­tant than ever. Mod­ern home secu­ri­ty and busi­ness secu­ri­ty solu­tions can deter theft, reduce risk, and give you peace of mind dur­ing the busiest time of the year.

Pro­tec­tion Plus has been secur­ing Toron­to homes and busi­ness­es for more than 30 years. Our team designs cus­tom pro­tec­tion sys­tems tai­lored to your prop­er­ty, includ­ing alarms, secu­ri­ty cam­eras, smart locks, and access con­trol sys­tems.

Con­tact us today for a free con­sul­ta­tion and dis­cov­er how we can help safe­guard your fam­i­ly, your busi­ness, and your hol­i­day deliv­er­ies.

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Allan Baum
Allan Baum founded Protection Plus with his wife Neseh in 1994. He has worked in the security industry since 1991. His educational background includes an MBA from York University ( when it was still York) and a B.A. from McGill. Allan and Neseh have three wonderful children who are now considered adults and an equally wonderful dog named Waub.